The recent popularity of the English Premier League has been nothing short of astonishing. The league recently announced that between August 2018 and May 2019 the league boasted a cumulative global viewing audience of 3.2 billion, highlighting its huge appeal.
Many fans like to bet on the Premier League whilst they are watching the games, yet the league is known as notoriously hard to predict. Here are a few tips that could give you a greater chance of winning some money on the English top-flight.
Both Teams To Score
Long gone are the days when you could only bet on traditional markets like opening goal-scorer or correct score. Nowadays, football betting features almost every market one could possibly think of, including both teams to score. Fairly self-explanatory, the aim of the game here is to pick which matches will see at least one goal from each team.
With 1,072 goals, the 2018-19 season was the most prolific ever in terms of goals scored. Sometimes results can be difficult to predict in a topsy-turvy league like the Premier League, yet if the teams are well-matched and likely to exploit each other’s weaknesses, then both teams to score could be an ideal market to explore – there is even the option to put together an accumulator of several both teams to score bets.
Which player will finish the season with more goals? pic.twitter.com/5dSfjVePRW
— Premier League (@premierleague) June 12, 2020
Keep Your Accumulators Simple
We’ve all been there. You’re putting together an accumulator of several Premier League games, and you get carried away. You add game after game and before long the bet is offering you a potential payout in the thousands. The problem is, if you’ve put together a ten-game accumulator, you’re almost certainly not going to win.
Only one game needs to go wrong to lose an accumulator bet, and when betting on a large number of games it only takes one red card, bad performance, or poor refereeing decision to have the bet up in flames. The trick is to pick between two and four games that you feel confident about and to remain content with building your earnings more slowly.
— Manchester United (@ManUtd) June 11, 2020
Use Expected Goals
Expected goals, sometimes known as xG, is scoffed at by some in the football world. Derided as ‘nerd nonsense’ by Craig Burley, the use of xG has been divisive. xG is an analytical tool that uses data from thousands of previous shots to determine how many goals a team is ‘expected’ to score in a given game, based on the quality of the chances they have created.
Some people deride xG as football is played on a pitch, and not a spreadsheet. They are right of course, but xG can be useful for predicting future results. xG can reveal how creative a team is, and also how many chances they are allowing the opposite team to create. While recent results can demonstrate what form a team is in terms of final results, xG can show how good their performances have actually been. The more information you have, the better informed your bet will be.
With these tips in mind, you should be able to find your niche when it comes to the Premier League. Whether its accumulators or something else entirely, the tools are out there to help you give you your best shot of winning.
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